Bihar Phase 1 Elections: A Make-or-Break Battle for Leaders and Parties
The political future of Bihar will take shape on November 6 as the first phase of the Assembly elections kicks off. Covering 71 constituencies, this phase is a critical test for both established leaders and smaller parties, setting the tone for the remaining rounds. The ruling NDA (BJP-JD(U)) and opposition Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress-Left) are locked in a high-stakes contest, with governance, jobs, and caste dynamics dominating the discourse.
Key Battlegrounds: High-Profile Clashes to Watch
The first phase spans crucial districts like Gaya, Nawada, Aurangabad, and Jamui, where caste-based voting has historically influenced results. Notable contests include:
– Bodh Gaya: BJP’s strong candidate vs. RJD’s seasoned leader.
– Aurangabad: LJP’s split (Chirag Paswan vs. NDA) adds unpredictability.
Deputy CM Sushil Kumar Modi (BJP) and Tejashwi Yadav (RJD) are leading aggressive campaigns. While Tejashwi’s 10 lakh jobs promise appeals to youth, the NDA is countering with PM-Kisan and infrastructure schemes to woo rural voters.
Small Parties Fight for Survival
Regional players like VIP (Mukesh Sahani) and HAM (Jitan Ram Manjhi) face extinction if they fail to win seats. Once kingmakers, these parties now struggle against the dominance of BJP-JD(U) and RJD’s resurgence.
Caste Equations & Polarization: Who Holds the Edge?
- NDA relies on upper castes, non-Yadav OBCs, and Dalits.
- Mahagathbandhan banks on Yadav-Muslim-Kurmi unity.
- AIMIM’s entry may split minority votes, potentially helping NDA.
COVID-19 & Migrant Crisis: A Lingering Electoral Factor
The opposition has attacked Nitish Kumar’s handling of the migrant crisis, while the BJP highlights central welfare schemes. Districts with high outmigration could see this issue sway votes.
What’s at Stake?
- NDA win: Strengthens Nitish Kumar’s CM claim despite anti-incumbency.
- Mahagathbandhan surge: Positions Tejashwi Yadav as Bihar’s next leader.
- Small parties: Risk fading into irrelevance if they underperform.
The November 6 results will not only shape Bihar’s governance but also send a signal ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
