The decades-long tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan have reached a boiling point, with Pakistan issuing a stark warning of potential “open war” if Kabul fails to curb cross-border militant attacks. The threat comes amid escalating violence along the disputed Durand Line, even as behind-the-scenes peace talks attempt to defuse the crisis.
Pakistan’s Ultimatum: A Tipping Point?
Pakistan’s Foreign Office accused Afghanistan’s Taliban-led government of failing to rein in the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a militant group behind recent attacks on Pakistani soil. In a strongly worded statement, Islamabad warned, “If Kabul does not act against terrorists operating from its territory, Pakistan will defend its sovereignty by all means necessary.”
The TTP, an affiliate of the Afghan Taliban, has intensified assaults on Pakistani security forces and civilians. Pakistan alleges the group enjoys safe havens in Afghanistan—a claim Kabul denies. While the Afghan Taliban urges dialogue, Islamabad’s patience is wearing thin.
Border Clashes and Humanitarian Crisis
Recent weeks have seen skirmishes along the porous border, including Pakistani airstrikes and Afghan mortar retaliations. Civilians in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan bear the brunt, with reports of displacement and casualties.
“People here fear another full-blown conflict,” said a Peshawar-based journalist, highlighting the growing unease in border regions.
Secret Talks: Can Diplomacy Prevail?
Despite public hostility, backchannel negotiations—mediated by China and Qatar—are underway. Pakistan demands Kabul either dismantle TTP sanctuaries or allow cross-border operations, a condition Afghanistan rejects.
Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi called for “patience and dialogue,” but Pakistan’s military leadership favors a tougher stance.
Global Concerns: Regional Stability at Risk
The standoff threatens wider instability:
– China fears disruptions to its Belt and Road projects, including CPEC.
– India monitors spillover risks in Kashmir.
– The U.S. presses for de-escalation while urging Taliban action.
What Comes Next?
The situation remains volatile:
– War Scenario: Failed talks could trigger prolonged conflict.
– Diplomatic Solution: A breakthrough might establish lasting security mechanisms.
With both nations nuclear-armed, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
