‘Abnormal’ Bihar Election Results Spark Debate
The 2024 Bihar assembly elections delivered a fractured mandate, reigniting discussions about the state’s shifting political dynamics. CPI(ML) Liberation General Secretary Dipankar Bhattacharya termed the outcome “abnormal,” attributing it to three key political experiments that reshaped voter behavior.
What Made Bihar’s Verdict ‘Abnormal’?
The BJP-led NDA retained power but with a reduced margin, while the opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB) underperformed. Smaller parties and independents played a pivotal role, leading to an unpredictable result—unlike previous elections.
Dipankar Bhattacharya’s Three Political Experiments
1. BJP’s Failed Polarization-Development Strategy
The BJP combined Hindutva rhetoric with development promises but struggled to attract EBCs and Dalits, who leaned toward JD(U) and caste-based parties.
2. Nitish Kumar’s Alliance Flip-Flops Backfire
JD(U)’s frequent switches between RJD and BJP eroded trust, shrinking its seat count despite retaining some Kurmi-Muslim support.
3. Smaller Parties & Independents Rise
Marginalized communities backed AIMIM, VIP, and CPI(ML), rejecting dominant alliances for localized representation—a trend signaling vote bank fragmentation.
Key Takeaways from Bihar’s Political Shift
- Decline of Monolithic Alliances: Voters are increasingly assertive, favoring smaller players.
- Governance Uncertainty: Coalition politics may lead to instability.
- Opposition’s Missed Chance: MGB’s lack of cohesion cost it anti-incumbency gains.
CPI(ML) & the Left’s Revival
The CPI(ML) gained seats in rural areas, suggesting a Left resurgence among Dalits and laborers disillusioned with mainstream parties.
Conclusion: Is Bihar Entering an Era of Electoral Fragmentation?
Bhattacharya’s analysis highlights how caste, governance failures, and anti-establishment sentiment shaped the verdict. The question remains: Can stability emerge, or will Bihar see deeper political divisions?
