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Barnwell’s 2026 QB Carousel Preview: Which NFL Teams Need a New QB1?

The NFL is a league of constant change, and nowhere is that more evident than at the quarterback position. While the 2024 and 2025 seasons are still ahead, ESPN’s Bill Barnwell has already turned his attention to the 2026 quarterback carousel—a looming shakeup that could redefine several franchises. With aging veterans, unproven young talents, and teams stuck in QB purgatory, the 2026 offseason might be one of the most consequential in recent memory.

Here’s an early breakdown of which teams could be in the market for a new QB1.

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: Life After Russell Wilson?

Russell Wilson’s arrival in Pittsburgh brought hope, but at 37 years old by 2026, his long-term future is uncertain. The Steelers have struggled to find stability since Ben Roethlisberger’s retirement. If Wilson declines or falls short of a deep playoff run, Pittsburgh could aggressively pursue a top-tier QB prospect or veteran. Rookie Spencer Rattler may get a shot, but the Steelers could be major players in the 2026 QB market.

2. Las Vegas Raiders: Is Aidan O’Connell the Franchise QB?

The Raiders have been in QB limbo since Derek Carr’s departure. Aidan O’Connell showed flashes in 2023, but Las Vegas—with a win-now owner in Mark Davis—won’t settle for mediocrity. If O’Connell doesn’t prove himself, expect the Raiders to make a splash via trade, free agency, or the draft.

3. Minnesota Vikings: The Post-Kirk Cousins Dilemma

Kirk Cousins’ exit left a void, and while Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy may hold the fort, neither is a surefire long-term answer. If Minnesota struggles in 2025, they could target a high draft pick or trade for a proven starter—especially with Justin Jefferson’s prime at stake.

4. Tennessee Titans: Will Levis’ Make-or-Break Season

Will Levis showed promise in 2023 but lacked consistency. If he doesn’t take a major leap in 2025, the Titans—who’ve invested in their O-line and weapons—could move on. A team with a strong defense can’t afford middling QB play forever.

5. New Orleans Saints: Derek Carr’s Last Chance?

Derek Carr will be 35 in 2026, and the Saints’ roster is built to win now. Without playoff success, New Orleans may finally embrace a rebuild—or target a younger QB to lead them out of cap hell.

6. New York Giants: Daniel Jones’ Final Shot

Daniel Jones’ massive contract hasn’t paid off due to injuries and inconsistency. If 2025 isn’t a resurgence, the Giants—under pressure from fans and ownership—could draft a QB early in 2026.

7. Seattle Seahawks: Who Succeeds Geno Smith?

Geno Smith has been a surprise success, but Seattle needs a long-term solution. With a talented roster, they can’t afford to delay finding their next franchise QB.

8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield’s Future

Baker Mayfield revived his career in Tampa, but is he the answer beyond 2025? If the Bucs regress, they may seek a younger QB to build around.

Sleeper Teams to Watch

  • Cleveland Browns: Deshaun Watson’s contract and off-field issues could force a change.
  • Atlanta Falcons: If Kirk Cousins declines, they’ll need a new plan.
  • Denver Broncos: Sean Payton won’t tolerate mediocrity indefinitely.

Final Thoughts

The 2026 QB carousel could reshape the NFL, with teams like the Giants, Raiders, and Steelers facing pivotal decisions. Will franchises find their franchise QB, or will QB purgatory continue? Stay tuned as the 2025 season sets the stage for a dramatic offseason.

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