Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025: Nitish Kumar’s NDA Dominates, Jan Suraaj Struggles
The high-stakes Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have concluded, and exit polls unanimously predict a massive victory for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s JD(U)-BJP alliance. Meanwhile, the newly formed Jan Suraaj party, led by ex-IAS officer Pawan Kumar, is expected to secure just 0-5 seats in the 243-member assembly.
Key Exit Poll Predictions
- NDA (JD(U)-BJP): 165-185 seats (crossing the 122-seat majority mark)
- INDIA Bloc (RJD-Congress-Left): 50-70 seats
- Jan Suraaj: 0-5 seats
Major pollsters—Axis My India, CVoter, Today’s Chanakya, and Republic-Matrize—all project a clear sweep for Nitish Kumar, reinforcing his grip on Bihar politics.
Why Nitish Kumar is Winning Big
- Development & Welfare Schemes – His government’s focus on infrastructure (roads, electricity) and women-centric programs (₹50,000 marriage grant) paid off.
- Caste Consolidation – NDA secured EBCs, Mahadalits, and upper-caste votes, while opposition alliances fragmented.
- Modi Factor – PM Narendra Modi’s rallies boosted BJP’s core base, aiding the coalition.
Jan Suraaj’s Disappointing Performance
The anti-corruption party failed to make an impact due to:
– Weak Grassroots Network – Lacked booth-level workers compared to established parties.
– Limited Rural Reach – Campaign resonated in urban areas but not in villages.
– Vote Splitting – May have divided anti-NDA votes, indirectly helping the ruling alliance.
Opposition’s Uphill Battle
Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD-led INDIA bloc struggled with:
– No Unified Narrative – Mixed messaging on jobs and social justice.
– Leadership Void – Lacked a central figure to counter Nitish-Modi appeal.
What’s Next for Bihar?
If exit polls hold, Nitish Kumar will become CM for an unprecedented eighth term, solidifying his legacy. The BJP gains momentum for 2029 LS polls, while Jan Suraaj faces an existential crisis.
Final Results on June 4 – Will the actual votes match the projections? Stay tuned for live updates!
— Reported by Livemint Bureau | Sources: Republic, Times Now, India Today
