Russia Poised for Largest Ukraine City Capture Since 2023
Russian troops are nearing control of Avdiivka, a strategic eastern Ukrainian city, in what would be their biggest territorial victory since seizing Bakhmut in May 2023. The advance signals a potential turning point as the war approaches its second anniversary.
Why Avdiivka’s Fall Would Be a Major Shift
- Strategic Stronghold: Avdiivka’s proximity to Donetsk makes it critical for securing Russia’s hold on the Donbas region.
- Symbolic Win: A capture would boost Russian morale amid stagnant frontlines, offering propaganda fuel for Putin.
- Ukrainian Challenges: Kyiv’s forces face severe ammunition shortages and delayed Western aid, weakening defenses.
How the Battle for Avdiivka Unfolded
Russian forces have encircled the city with artillery, airstrikes, and infantry assaults, mirroring tactics used in Bakhmut. Ukrainian troops report “critical” conditions but continue resisting despite heavy losses. Satellite images show widespread destruction, with civilian infrastructure in ruins.
Impact of Delayed Western Military Aid
Ukraine’s ability to hold Avdiivka has been strained by stalled U.S. and EU aid. A $60 billion U.S. package remains blocked, while European deliveries lag. NATO warns of dire consequences if support doesn’t accelerate.
Humanitarian Toll: Civilians Trapped in Warzone
Once home to 30,000, Avdiivka now shelters fewer than 1,000—mostly elderly—amid blackouts and food shortages. Evacuations are near-impossible due to constant shelling.
What Comes Next?
If Avdiivka falls, Russia may target Chasiv Yar next. Experts warn Ukraine risks further losses without rapid reinforcements. President Zelenskyy vows fierce resistance, but the city’s fate could shape 2024’s battlefield dynamics.
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